03 November 2007

3-11-07 : Most of my counters are uptrend

Most of my counters are uptrend. And yes, I miss all of them. Never hold any positions. That coz I am not a position trader.

GOOG
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RIMM
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AAPL
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BIDU
====


MA
===
Of coz, some just gap up from a box. eg. MA


GS
===
GS retraced to trendline. A good time to enter a call.


BSC
===
BSC is the exception. Its downtrend.

01 November 2007

1-11-07 : AAPL wait to break box up

$190 is the limit for now. The box top. Wait till its broken, and its time for call.

daily
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15min
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1-11-07 : GOOG broke 700 up

$700 mark is broken. Now is $707. Retracement to 700 is done in same day. Thus its more conservative to wait for retracement to 2nd support 680. Aggressive traders may enter at $700 1st support retracement.

daily
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15min
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1-11-07 : GS ready to go higher

On 29/10 we saw the breakout, on 30/10 we saw the retracement back to 240, last nite we saw the price cont going up. The breakout process is complete. GS is ready to move higher. Suggest get a call here.

daily
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15min
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31-10-07 : Day Trade Summary

GS Dec07 250 call - $98.00
GS Dec07 240 call - $147.60
GOOG Nov07 700 call - $146.00
AAPL Dec07 190 call - -$50.40
RIMM Dec07 120 call - $18.00

Total profit for 31-10-07 : $395.20

31 October 2007

31-10-07 : Tonite's trading plan

These are the more priority counters with better setup :

(1) GS call
(2) AAPL call
(3) BSC put
(4) RIMM call

30-10-07 : BIDU is going higher

The ascending triangle forms almost same time as GOOG and AAPL. It gapped up,and never retraced back to 340, or to trendline. Thus wait first.

daily
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15min
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30-10-07 : GRMN's triple top pays off

if you have listened to my 29-10-07 advice to sell ur call and buy put,
you would be profitable now.

price did form another top (made it quadriple top), then tank to 120 from 126 box top area.
MACD 15min cross 0 down, thus may even break 15min trendline to 120. Thus its best to hang on first.

daily
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15min
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30-10-07 : BSC is really the dog

29-10-07 I expect BSC to rebound up strongly after broken trendline up. But it just went back down into the same box, and MACD sinks below 0. thus outlook is back to bearish for now.

Luckily, no call signal is triggered, as after 11am, it never went up above 115 again.

daily
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15min
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30-10-07 : AAPL wait for breakout?

29-10-07 i said wait for breakout of level, and it did happen, and retraced back. ascending triangle, it closely resembles GOOG price pattern.

Most likely it will break 168 again tonite, and lets Call !!

daily
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15min
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30-10-07 : RIMM rest on trendline, ready to go

I said in 29-10-07 call if above 120, and put if below 117.Its 121 now, resting on trendline support. thus last nite is not appropriate to enter call. A good time to enter call tonite, if it goes up from the trendline support.

daily
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15min
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30-10-07 : MA's earning effect is uncertain

Its best to hold, as per last advice on 29-10-07. The chart is not strongly bullish, but it does have bullish bias. If result is good tonite, may well go to 170.

Wait for the catalyst to be confirmed first.15min MACD not yet cross 0 up, thus no signal to enter Call for now. Wait.

daily chart
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15min chart
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30-10-07 : GS did retraced

On 29-10-07 i said wait for GS to retrace to 15min trendline first.

without retracement, price is 246. After retracement its 240. Saved $6 for
waiting for retracement. Well done.

Now we are ready to buy Call should GS move higher than 241 tonite.

daily chart
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15min chart
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30-10-07 : GOOG trade was good

On 29-10-07 i mentioned if break 678 up then call.
It did, and its 700. Up $22. Wow.

15min chart
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now i would really wait for the price to retrace to 15min trendline. 700 can be a strong resistance for now.

29 October 2007

29-10-07 : BIDU trade

ascending triangle :
Breakout 351 after retracement call.
Break triangle down $344 put.

29-10-07 : GRMN trade

Seems to form double top. 15min chart forms H&S.
Break below 116 to put.

Call holder
==========
sell your call now

Put entry pt
=============
Break below 116. Cut loss at 118. Take profit at 110.

Daily chart
==============


15min chart
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29-10-07 : BSC trade

BSC already broken 15min downtrendline. Now its box up.

Put holder
=========
Sell your BSC put now

Call holder
============
Hold on till 120 then sell.

Call Entry pt
===========
Open around 115-117 area. Bull market. Enter call here.

Put entry pt
===========
Below 110 enter put.

15min chart
==============

29-10-07 : AAPL trade

Now in channel box 180-188.

Wait for breakout.

29-10-07 : MA trade

Gap up in view of earning 2 days later on 31/10/07.

May well go to 170.

Call holder
==========
Hold on as trendline is intact.

Call entry
============
If white cdl bullish up the trendline, then call. if not wait.

29-10-07 : RIMM trade

uptrend still intact.

If go higher tonite with strong white its ERF#1.

Call holder
============
can still hold on as trendline intact.

But macd 15min already below 0. beware of retracement tonite.

Entry pt
========
Call at 210
Put at 117

Daily
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15min chart
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29-10-07 : GOOG trade

Into a small channel now. 660-678 box.
Ascending triangle.

Call holder
=============
Break below 15min trendline sell.

Call/Put entry pt
===================
above 678 = call
below 670 = put


26-10-07 : GS trade tonite

GS gap up. resistance is $5 away at 240. Now still at 235.

Call holder
==============
Will hold one until the trendline for 15min (also same as 5min) is broken).
Sell when reach $240.

Call entry pt
==============
wait for retrace to trendline, then up again with a strong white cdl for ERF#1.

28 October 2007

28-10-07 : A look at GOOG trendline

Let's look at GOOG again for this whole year. Its not hard to notice,
generally the chart includes 2 major trendlines, and 1 H&S inverted pattern (bullish), just before the 2nd and longer trendline.




We are still at the midst of the 2nd trendline. However, notice that from the breakout point, price has risen by $160 (520 - 680).

The channel before the breakout is a box of 440-520 ($80). Thus price has risen twice the box range. Its possible there's a retracement at this point. But its not confirmed until the trendline is broken.

27 October 2007

Back to 18-9-07 : Where GOOG broke out

The GOOG trend is really one of extra ordinary bullish one. Players who swing trade by the trendline would have earned up to $100 by now.

This is an analysis of where is the practical entry and exit point to time this trade. Its a hypothetical situation, not an actual trade.

If enter at 18/9/07 break out of Inverted H&S pattern, hold till now (trenline still intact) would have earned $11,700, assuming the option was $20 to buy. Now its $137 (Nov 540 Call, assumed that time buy 2 mths in advance, 1 strike OTM when share price was $533).

Thus we can safely say, playing trend is profitable in long run, than day trade, and less stressful.

26-10-07 : Fib on GS

FIBO retracement does apply on GS.

Daily chart @ 26-10-07
=========================

26-10-07 : Trade Summary

Tonite i look at the market from 12.30am onwards.

Notice a few stocks have break out, thus buy with tight profit margin, as most stocks have moved quite near their resistance.

Summary of my trades tonite :

GS Dec07 $230 call : $1.20
GOOG Nov07 670 call : $1
BSC Nov07 $120 call : $0.50
Total profits @ 26-10-07 : $2.70

26-10-07 : AAPL trade (open position)

MA dec07 $160 call
bought @ $11
closing @ $11
paper loss = $0
reason for purchase : break box up

daily chart
============


15min chart
=============

26-10-07 : MA trade (open position)

MA Dec07 $160 Call
Bought @ 11.50
Closing @ 11.00
Paper loss = -$0.50
Reason for the purchase : Break box up

Daily chart
============


15min chart
============

26-10-07 : GS trade 2

GS Dec07 230 call
Bought @ 17.80
Sold @ 18.50 (highest of the day)
Profit : 0.70
duration : 40mins

5min chart
=============

26-10-07 : GOOG trade

GOOG Nov-07 670 call
bought @ 19.40
sold @ 20.40
profit = $1
duration = 10min

Daily chart
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15min chart
===========

26-10-07 : BSC trade

BSC Dec07 $120 Call
Bought @ 10
Sold @ 10.50
profit : 0.50
duration : 30mins

Daily chart
===========



15min chart
===============

26-10-07 : GS trade

GS Dec07 230 call
Bought @ 16
sold @ 16.50
profit = 0.50
duration = 10mins

Daily chart
==============


15min chart
==============