12-11-07 : All 4 majors need retracement

EUR-USD & GBP-USD needs retracement.
USD-JPY and USD-CHF needs rebound back to trendline.

Must wait for now.

EUR-USD
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GBP-USD
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USD-CHF
-------


USD-JPY
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12-11-07 : MSCI Index Short setup

If the index can cross 340 down, then its likely to go down further.

If you are aggressive, you may also go for a short if the price rebound to 346
(upper channel line for 15min chart), then down again.

Daily
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15min
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12-11-07 : Nikkei is still downtrend

Those who hold Nikkei Shorts can cont to do so. Those who have not shorted Nikkei can wait till it rebound to trendline and fall again.

Now its best to just wait.

12-11-07 : Yhoo is going down

Other than the major 7, i do have some time to look at others, thus come out with some extra ideas.

Yhoo is dropping fast. 22.50 may be the support, thus still ahve time for a put.

But the risk:reward is only 1.25, less than 2. Thus may not be worth it.

12-11-07 : My take on various markets

S = short
L = long
U = undecided

(A) US Nasdaq
==============
(1) GOOG - S
(2) BIDU - S
(3) GS - U
(4) BSC - U
(5) RIMM - S
(6) MA - L
(7) AAPL - S

(B) Forex
=========
(1) EUR-USD - L
(2) GBP-USD - L
(3) USD-JPY - S
(4) USD-CHF - S

(C) Commodities
===============
(1) Gold - L
(2) Silver - L
(3) Coffee - L

(D) Indexes
============
(1) QQQQ - U
(2) MSCI -
(3) Hang Seng -
(4) Nikkei -
(5) KLCI -

11-11-07 : MSCI cut @ 360. Loss $600

THe decision to enter MSCI Index Long on 6/11/07 was due to Fibo retracement. Perhaps its not a tool for me.

Long Entry signal
=================


Cut loss pt
===========

12-11-07 : SAPCRES time to sell

H&S. after break neckline at 1.65 level confirmed down.

12-11-07 : TIMECOM at channel base

May go higher after stabilize at the channel base.

12-11-07 : GPLUS - triangle breakout

Wait for triangle breakout.

12-11-07 : MA trend resumes upwards

MA gapped up, and then retrace for a while. But now trend is considered well attached to the trendline, and resumes. May place a 3 mth expiration call.

12-11-07 : BIDU put setup

BIDU put trade setup is possible.

CFD strategy
===========
Price = 343.
target = 300 (43 profit max)
cut = 351 (12 loss max)
risk:reward = 1:3.6
duration = 5 days

Options strategy
================
Option choice = Dec07 $300 put
option price = $15.50
target = $25.50
cut = $10.50
Risk:reward = 1:2

12-11-07 : How far will GOOG retrace?

I expect retracement of GOOG to be till 650 (38.2%) retracement.

If break this support down, then the next Fibo support is at $614 (50% retracement).

12-11-07 : AAPL Put opportunity

Since AAPL drops below box. can bet it will drop till box bottom of 150.

CFD strategy
=============
Price = 165.37
target = 150 (15.37 profit max)
cut = 171 (5.63 loss max)
risk : reward = 1:2.7

Option strategy
=================
option choice = Dec07 Put @150
option price = $4.95
target = $7
cut = $4
Risk:reward = 1:2

Can consider.

10-11-07 : Short Hang Seng Index @ 28871

Can short the hang seng index @ 28871.
target = 27000 (1871 profit max)
cut = 29500 (629 loss max)
risk : reward = 1:3

Can consider.

12-11-07 : ADBE put opportunity

There's a chance ADBE will go down further.

price = 43.2
target = 40 (3.2 profit)
cut = 45.5 (2.3)
risk : reward = 1:1.3

Not sufficient R:R for a trade. Abort.

daily
====

10-11-07 : Silver is also up

I comment on possibility to buy silver which is trending up. Now could have gained a profit of $58 within 1 day.

Here's the chart :

10-11-07 : Gold is up d !

Earlier I planned to buy Gold at 814.60, but did not get the price.
Now its up to 830 d.

Here's the profit I miss :

Gold Daily
===========

10-11-07 : Coffee is up again !

I long coffee earlier, at $120 level, based on trendline support.
Now its $122.05. I set trailing stop at 100 > 0, which is trailing $1.00 behind the
coffee price. Target is still set at $130. We will see if the price can be hit.

Coffee Daily
=============

9-11-07 : MA & BSC trade

I bought a MA Jan08 $210 Call for $9.

I bought a BSC Jan08 $100 Put for $12.

Will buy another one to average down the cost if necessary.

9-11-07 : Another bearish night

GOOG and others cont to free fall. GOOG in fact fell another $22 to $671 now at around 11pm.

Its time to hold most counters till trend is established.

MA and BSC however, can see call & put opportunities due to break of boxes.

MA break box up, and despite bearish sentiment overall, remains above the box.

MA daily
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BSC breaks 100 down, and remains down for now. We may go for BSC put after it has rebound to 100 level, and fall again.

BSC daily
=========