16 October 2007

16-10-07 : BIDU the Big Bull ...

Haha.. BIDU's bearish engulf forces the price to open at 300, goes up, and yesterday its down again. I guess it may retrace to 300 .. or even lower?


I would like to think more positive and say 300 is the strong support. Until proven other wise, I think 300 will hold for now, and a call around 301 area is not that bad. but its not that safe either.


For me, I will wait for BIDU to fall below 298, and I will go for a put. May retrace a lot in 1 night if you are lucky. Cut loss point of coz, is 301. Take profit point? 280 maybe. May be even 200 !!


okok .. cut the crab.. its not going so down .. is it ? Who knows ...

16-10-07 : GOOG is dropping before earnings on 19/10? For Christ Sake !

Oh No ! GOOG is dropping so soon? How about Pre-Earning play? Its not going to work is it?


Anyone long GOOG? Its big bearish engulf for God's sake !





First the big black with big tails on both ends (fierce fierce stuggle between bulls and bears), then the more reassuring white, then the big black again that fully engulf the white !

Oh no.. whats this world coming to? Anyone dares a put on GOOG tonite? kekeke ...


16-10-2007 : GS may not break 230 so soon

Gs .. GS ... the bull is so so strong after its large retracement to 160 area. But now it seems the bull has lost much steam at 230 area. Will it break 230 now? soon? ever?

That question we should leave to market movers for GS, but I do believe a lot of institutional big boys are supporting GS. Thus going back to 160 position seems unlikely. But a retracement is possible.

Lets look at the daily chart closely, and look for signals of bull weakness :



Sign 1 : Equally long black cdl after a long white
Sign 2 : 2 bearish engulf in a row.
Sign 3 : There has not been a single retracement since 160.

For you GS supporters out there, you may still hold call positions (I hold 1 Jan08 $280 call @$1.95 premium). the premium is now $1.65. Not sure how much value it will cont to lose. So the dillemma now is to get out, or to embrace for the fall.

But to make things clear, bearishness is not confirmed to turn into a free fall. For all we know, 220 is strong support. so is 200. But hope is never the element in my trading strategy. So I may look forward to cut tonite, if the stock falls below 227. Other than that, I will cont to hold. If it does fall below 227, I will cut and look forward to buy back at 220, 210 or 200 area. Definitely will buy back 1 call at 200.

We will see if our dear GS will be driven by bulls or bears tonite. Oh Cramer, do you know ?

16-10-2007 - RIMM is ripped for a pullback

RIMM seems not to be going up at all. Seems 2 bearish engulf. I guess it may retrace to 100. If pass 120, then it will go higher. So its 100-120 its in now. If break 108 tonite, then get a put. If go above 111, then get a call.



Below 108 -> Put --> Target = 100. Cut loss at 111. Risk:Reward = 3:7
Above 111 -> Call --> Target = 120. Cut loss at 108. Risk:Reward = 3:9 = 1:3